Prognostic analysis according to European LeukemiaNet 2022 risk stratification for elderly patients with acute myeloid leukemia treated with decitabine

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of the revised European LeukemiaNet (ELN)−2022 risk stratification model for 123 elderly acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients treated with decitabine chemotherapy.

Based on the ELN-2022 risk stratification, 15 (12.2%), 51 (41.5%), and 57 (46.3%) patients were classified as having favorable, intermediate, and high-risk AML, respectively. In comparison with the ELN-2017 risk stratification, the ELN-2022 risk stratification re-assigned 26 (21.1%) and three (2.4%) patients to the adverse and favorable risk groups, respectively. Survival analysis revealed distinctive overall survival (OS) outcomes among the ELN-2022 risk groups (6-month OS rate: 73.3%, 52.9%, and 47.7% for favorable, intermediate, and adverse risk, respectively; P = 0.101), with a parallel trend observed in the event-free survival (EFS) (6-month EFS rate: 73.3%, 52.9%, and 45.6% for favorable, intermediate, and adverse risk, respectively; P = 0.049). Notably, both OS and EFS in the favorable risk group were significantly superior in comparison to that of the adverse risk group (OS: P = 0.040, EFS: P = 0.030). Although the ELN-2022 C-index (0.559) was greater than the ELN-2017 C-index (0.539), the result was not statistically significant (P = 0.059). Based on the event net reclassification index, we consistently observed significant improvements in the ELN-2022 risk stratification for overall survival (0.21 at 6 months).

In conclusion, the revised ELN-2022 risk stratification model may have improved the risk classification of elderly AML patients treated with hypomethylating agents compared to the ELN-2017 risk stratification model.