pone.0249143.g006.tif (122.66 kB)
R estimates.
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posted on 2021-09-02, 17:48 authored by Kimberly VanderWaal, Lora Black, Judy Hodge, Addisalem Bedada, Scott Deea) Comparison of R estimates using different estimation techniques. Colors indicate each technique: EG: Exponential growth; ML: Maximum likelihood; TD: R-TD during the first week; Model: Estimate from the tuned compartmental model. b) Time-dependent R estimated at a weekly interval for each plant. In both panels, black hashed line shows R = 1.
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observed epidemiological dataanimal welfare crisismodeling transmission dynamicsdevelop mathematical modelsworker screening programspork processing plantsminimizing disease spreadmeat processing plantsdiv >< pthree plants studiedlarge outbreak withininitial outbreak ).major occupational healthroutine pcr screeningclinical cases acrossprocessing plantsthree weeksroutine pcroccupational safetylarge numberinitial phasedisease plateauedclinical casesacross plantsmathematical modelswine industrysupport continuitysubsequently declinedsimulate transmissionresidual immunityresearch helpsr previous peakpossible scenariospopulation immunityminimizing sarsminimize risklarger outbreaksidentify protocolsgenerally rangedearly stagescumulative incidencebiosecurity measuresapproximately 30apparent hotspotsantibody prevalenceabsolute number
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