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ARCTIC MARINE FOREST DISTRIBUTION MODELS SHOWCASE POTENTIAL SEVERE LOSSES UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE

Version 6 2021-12-22, 13:36
Version 5 2021-12-07, 13:58
Version 4 2021-09-06, 17:50
Version 3 2021-09-06, 16:55
Version 2 2021-09-01, 13:10
Version 1 2021-07-22, 04:00
dataset
posted on 2021-12-22, 13:36 authored by Trevor BringloeTrevor Bringloe
Our main objective was to investigate potential gains and losses in northern hemisphere marine forest habitat along temperate and Arctic coastlines under different climate change scenarios. In particular, we sought to investigate anticipated responses according to three ecosystem distribution categories: cryophilic marine forest species with high affinity for the Arctic environment (i.e. oceanic benthic waters with a min annual temperature of ca. -1.5oC), cryotolerant species occurring in cold-temperate and Arctic conditions, and cryophobic species restricted to cold-temperate with no current range in the Arctic environment (as defined above).

The datasets provided here include the occurrence records for training models, area calculations for both threshold and probabilistic predictions for each species and each climate change scenario, and the maxent predictions for each species, including the stacked predictions, and for each climate change scenario.

v6 provides updated models, which were revised in light of reviewer feedback. The original models remain available in earlier versions of this figshare project. This version also provides maxent output to ensure model results are fully transparent.

The ODMAP table provides all details pertaining to the analysis.

For threshold predictions, yellow=occurrence, blue=no occurrence. For probabilistic predictions, dark blue->light blue refers to 0->1.0 probability of occurrence.

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