Validation of the role of fire with a restricted dataset.

<p>Models that incorporated only the effects of fire, elephants, or rainfall on per capita tree density change were fitted to photopanorama data from the post-1980 period only (1980–2003 data were used for model fitting). The figure shows how well alternative tree dynamics models fit the pre-1980 photopanorama data (the validation period). The original best-fit model (model 3, fitted to the entire dataset) is also plotted for reference. Each data point represents a mean across multiple sites for a particular time period (a midpoint, see <a href="http://www.plosbiology.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pbio.1000210#pbio-1000210-g001" target="_blank">Figure 1E</a>).</p>

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