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The natural history of influenza of simulated individuals in FLuTE.
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posted on 2013-02-21, 02:52 authored by Dennis L. Chao, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Valerie J. Obenchain, Ira M. Longini JrWhen a susceptible individual is infected (at time ), that person will be infectious for six days with infectiousness proportional to his or her viral load. The six possible viral load trajectories are plotted. Most individuals become symptomatic, which occurs after a 1, 2, or 3 day incubation period. Symptomatic individuals are twice as infectious as asymptomatic individuals (i.e., infectiousness is proportional to twice the viral load). Individuals recover six days after infection and are immune.