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Possible causal structures underlying a hypothesized association between autism and sibling sex.

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posted on 2015-10-23, 03:41 authored by Keely Cheslack-Postava, Ezra Susser, Kayuet Liu, Peter S. Bearman

In the common cause scenario (A), an association arises because risk of autism and sex of each child share a common antecedent (for example, maternal testosterone levels). In the sex independence scenarios (B, C), risk of autism in siblings shares a common cause (B), or observation of autism in one sibling directly influences observation of autism in the other (C), but sex is independent. In the separate causes scenario (D), both sex of siblings within a given family and risk of autism in those children are correlated, but the association arises through separate antecedent factors. In the autism independence scenario (E), sex of siblings shares a common cause but risk of autism does not. Depending on method of analysis, an association between whether autism is diagnosed in one child (A1) and sex of the sibling (S2) could potentially be observed under any of these scenarios.

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