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Undetermined stroke with an embolic pattern—a common phenotype with high early recurrence risk

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posted on 2015-07-04, 00:00 authored by Tuomo Nieminen, Satu Mustanoja, Turgut Tatlisumak, Jukka Putaala, Elena Haapaniemi, Atte Meretoja, Kirsi Rantanen, Noora Heikkinen, Janne Kinnunen, Daniel Strbian, Sami Curtze, Sami Pakarinen, Mika Lehto

Introduction. Undetermined strokes with an embolic pattern (USEP) represent a common phenotype. We assessed their frequency and compared USEP with cardioembolic stroke with a known source and non-cardioembolic stroke etiology.

Methods. Study patients were 540 consecutive ischemic stroke patients admitted to Helsinki University Hospital with primary end-point of recurrent stroke in a 21-month follow-up. Cox regression adjusting for CHA2DS2-VASc and anticoagulation estimated the risk of USEP on recurrent stroke.

Results. A total of 229 (42.4%) patients had a non-cardioembolic stroke etiology, 184 (34.1%) had a cardioembolic stroke with a known source, and 127 (23.5%) were classified as USEP. USEP patients had less diabetes and prior TIA, with more severe symptoms than the non-cardioembolic stroke cases. They were younger, had fewer comorbidities, and less severe symptoms than the cardioembolic stroke patients. Cumulative risk of recurrent stroke was 10.0% (95% CI 4.1%–15.9%) for USEP, 5.0% (1.1%–8.9%) for cardioembolic strokes, and 5.0% (3.0%–7.0%) for non- cardioembolic strokes (P = 0.089). USEP associated with a higher risk of recurrent stroke compared to non-cardioembolic strokes (hazard ratio 2.36, 95% CI 1.02–5.47; P = 0.046) and cardioembolic stroke with a known source (1.83, 1.07–3.14; P = 0.028).

Conclusions. Despite their younger age and more favorable risk factor profile compared with other phenotypes, USEP exhibited a high risk of stroke recurrence.

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