Supplement 1. S-PLUS code for estimating parameters and calculating risk metrics from a time series.

2016-08-04T23:48:16Z (GMT) by Elizabeth E. Holmes William F. Fagan
<h2>File List</h2><blockquote> <p> S-Plus code: </p> <p> <a href="DHMethod.txt">DHMethod.txt</a><br> <a href="riskmetrics.txt">riskmetrics.txt</a><br> </p> <p> All files are in ASCII text. </p> </blockquote><h2>Description</h2>Following are S-Plus files (in ascii format) to estimate parameters and risk metrics from a time series using the Dennis-Holmes method. <p> The file DHMethod.txt contains code to estimate -- IMAGE: Please see in attached file. -- using running sums and -- IMAGE: Please see in attached file. --<sup>2</sup> using the slope method from a time series of counts.</p> <p> The file riskmetrics.txt contains code to estimate risk metrics given estimates of -- IMAGE: Please see in attached file. -- and -- IMAGE: Please see in attached file. --<sup>2</sup>. The following metrics are calculated: confidence intervals on -- IMAGE: Please see in attached file. --, probability of extinction with 95% confidence intervals, probability of decline with 95% confidence intervals, probability of observing extinction, and probability of observing a given decline. </p>