AleatoryEpistemicGroundMotionPrediction.pptx (95.13 kB)

Transfer of aleatory to epistemic uncertainty within earthquake ground motion prediction

Download (188.94 kB)
posted on 21.06.2017 by John Douglas
Animated slide showing how aleatory variability transfers to epistemic uncertainty for increasingly sophisticated procedures for earthquake ground motion prediction. This slide was originally developed for my theme lecture but I have shown it since in various presentations:

Douglas, J. (2014), Fifty years of ground-motion models, Second European Conference on
Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Istanbul, Turkey, 24th–29th August.