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Nonparametric Estimation of Repeated Densities with Heterogeneous Sample Sizes

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posted on 2022-07-22, 16:20 authored by Jiaming Qiu, Xiongtao Dai, Zhengyuan Zhu

We consider the estimation of densities in multiple subpopulations, where the available sample size in each subpopulation greatly varies. This problem occurs in epidemiology, for example, where different diseases may share similar pathogenic mechanism but differ in their prevalence. Without specifying a parametric form, our proposed method pools information from the population and estimate the density in each subpopulation in a data-driven fashion. Drawing from functional data analysis, low-dimensional approximating density families in the form of exponential families are constructed from the principal modes of variation in the log-densities. Subpopulation densities are subsequently fitted in the approximating families based on likelihood principles and shrinkage. The approximating families increase in their flexibility as the number of components increases and can approximate arbitrary infinite-dimensional densities. We also derive convergence results of the density estimates formed with discrete observations. The proposed methods are shown to be interpretable and efficient in simulation studies as well as applications to electronic medical record and rainfall data. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Funding

Qiu is supported in part by NSF grant TRIPODS CCF-1934884. Dai is supported in part by NSF grant DMS-2113713.

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