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Causes of the widespread 2019-2020 Australian bushfire season

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posted on 2025-05-09, 00:04 authored by Proloy Deb, Hamid Moradkhani, Peyman Abbaszadeh, Anthony KiemAnthony Kiem, Johanna Engström, David Keellings, Ashish Sharma
The recent bushfires (2019-2020) in New South Wales (NSW) Australia were catastrophic by claiming human and animal lives, affecting ecosystems, destroying infrastructure, and more. Recent studies have investigated relationships between hydroclimatic signals and past bushfires, and very recently, a few commentary papers claimed drought and fuel moisture content as the probable causes for the widespread 2019-2020 bushfires. Therefore, in this study, a novel work of encompassing a wide range of factors attributing to the recent bushfires is presented. Empirical evidence-based statistical methods are used to identify the hydroclimatic variables and geomorphic characteristics contributing to the 2019-2020 bushfires. The results highlight that ongoing drought, surface soil moisture (SSM), wind speed (WS10), relative humidity (RH), heat waves (HW), dead and live fuel moisture, and certain land cover types create favorable conditions for fire ignition and aid in fire propagation in different regions of the NSW state. The findings suggest that accounting for the above-identified variables in bushfire prediction and monitoring system are crucial in avoiding such catastrophes in the future. The overarching application of this study is developing robust and more versatile fire protection planning and management.

History

Journal title

Earth's Future

Volume

8

Issue

11

Article number

e2020EF001671

Publisher

John Wiley & Sons

Language

  • en, English

College/Research Centre

Faculty of Science

School

School of Environmental and Life Sciences

Rights statement

© 2020 The Author(s). This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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