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The change trend of prevalence of schistosomiasis from three models.

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posted on 13.08.2014, 03:05 by Lingling Zhou, Lijing Yu, Ying Wang, Zhouqin Lu, Lihong Tian, Li Tan, Yun Shi, Shaofa Nie, Li Liu

The comparison of observation and predicted values between the hybrid ARIMA-NARNN model, and the single ARIMA or NARNN model are shown in Figure 6A. On the whole, the red line is closer to the observation curve that indicates the predicted values from the ARIMA-NARNN model are the best fit for the prevalence of schistosomiasis in humans. Figure 6B shows the predicted prevalence of schistosomiasis (1960–2016) from the reconstructed hybrid ARIMA-NARNN model.