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Seven state Markov diagram.

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posted on 21.02.2013, 04:59 authored by Sebastiaan J. van Hal, Hong Foo, Christopher C. Blyth, Kenneth McPhie, Paul Armstrong, Vitali Sintchenko, Dominic E. Dwyer

Each day of an outbreak a hypothetical cohort of pilgrims moves (following the arrows) to another or returns to the same health state based on transition probabilities. Shaded boxes represent terminal (or absorbing) states.