Bayesian analysis of the experiments with unvaccinated birds (scenario D).

Shown are samples from the marginal posterior density of the mean versus variance of the latent period (A), the mean versus variance of the infectious period (B), and the mean infectious period versus transmission rate parameter (C). Dots refer to parameters characterizing the contact infections. The contours in (C) correspond to specific values of the reproduction number. See Figure S5 for additional results.