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Results of supervised machine learning predictive models for paediatric abdominal pain.

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posted on 2025-11-05, 18:39 authored by Kazuya Takahashi, Michalina Lubiatowska, Huma Shehwana, James K. Ruffle, John A. Williams, Animesh Acharjee, Shuji Terai, Georgios V. Gkoutos, Humayoon Satti, Qasim Aziz
<p><b>A</b>. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the CatBoost-based model. <b>B.</b> The y-axis represents the observed abdominal pain (AP) rate, while the x-axis indicates the predicted probability groups. Error bars represent the 95% confidence intervals of the observed AP rates. <b>C.</b> The mean Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) value of each variable. Variables written in red represent maternal comorbidities, while those written in black represent variables related to the children themselves. <b>D.</b> The beeswarm plots show the SHAP feature importance and the direction of the effect of each variable on the model. The horizontal axis represents the SHAP value. Since all the variables used in the predictive models were binary, red and blue plots indicate positive or negative for each variable, respectively. For example, in the case of ‘Pakistani’, red plots tend to be distributed in the positive SHAP value and blue plots in the negative SHAP value. This indicates that Pakistani children are more likely to have AP.</p>

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