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Prediction from March 16 to July 15.

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posted on 09.07.2021, 18:36 authored by Yatang Lin, Fangyuan Peng

These graphs compare the daily official reported number of cases to the simulated ones from 200 simulations using the fully-estimated model from March 15,2020 to July 15,2020. Graph (a) is daily infection case and (b) is cumulative case. The orange x deontes the number of daily reported cases. The blue box and whiskers show the median, interquartile range(IQR), and 1.5IQR derived from 200 simulations using the fitting model with parameters estimated from Table 1. R2 = 0.86-0.97.