Fig 5 -

Relationships between the SLSI for Karumba in Australia’s Gulf of Carpentaria between July 1987 and December 2018 and measures of mangrove canopy condition (Site 9—GOC6, see Tables 1–3), in A. as green fraction (%), and B. the green fraction anomaly (r² = 0.227, n = 251, P<0.001; see Methods). For A, the red arrow line depicts the loss in canopy condition between January 2015 to June 2016. Note the point of inflection of canopy decline corresponds to minimum negative values of SLSI ~-400 mm SLSI, marking the major desiccation event in October 2015. For B, numbers in circles show ensemble averaged data for each month of the year (1 = Jan to 12 = Dec) during the period (r² = -0.500, n = 12, P<0.02); noting March and April (shaded orange, peak wet season) and October and November (shaded yellow, peak dry season). Refer to ‘S1 Text’ for records from all 14 study sites (Image source: illustration by ADC).