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Ensuring the length of the last segment in the training set to 37 days is helpful for accurate prediction.

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posted on 2022-01-12, 18:27 authored by Geon Lee, Se-eun Yoon, Kijung Shin

NLLD without the constraint sometimes greatly overestimates the numbers of infected and recovered individuals, and the constraint helps prevent such absurd predictions. Moreover, the constraint was beneficial in 39 countries out of the 70 countries. The countries are indexed in the order of the forecasting error of NLLD with the constraint.