Diverging trends in thyroid cancer burden among Chinese AYAs: 20-year BAPC projections (2022–2041).
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posted on 2025-10-14, 17:45 authored by Jiahui Qian, Shuo Qi, Rui Hu, Miao Zhang, Zhi Chen, Zhiguo Ding<p><b>(A)</b> Projected age-standardized incidence rates show a continued rise overall, with females bearing a consistently and significantly higher burden than males. <b>(B)</b> Projected mortality rates remain very low, showing a slight decline for females and stability for males.</p>
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upward risk trendpast three decadesnext 20 yearsmodifiable risk factorsmay help addressconsolidating effective diagnosticadjusted life yearscohort projections suggested1980 also exhibiteddisease 2021 databasedisease 2021 datayoung adult populationxlink "> datarelative burden measuresindicating growing sexassess temporal trends1990 &# 8211global rates stabilizedchinese female patients2021 )</ pcohort model analysiswhose incidence continuedxlink ">cohort modeldisease burdenyoung adultsstandardized ratespopulation growthmale patientsbirth cohortstratified analysisdecomposition analysisglobal trendsglobal estimatesglobal burdenglobal averagethyroid cancertherapeutic practicesstudy aimedspecific strategiesshow improvementssex gapsex differencessensitive approachesrising burdenremain stablepronounced wideningprognostic outcomesprimarily drivenprecision prevention
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