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Low Ambient Temperature and Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The INTERACT2 Study

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posted on 09.02.2016, 09:25 by Danni Zheng, Hisatomi Arima, Shoichiro Sato, Antonio Gasparrini, Emma Heeley, Candice Delcourt, Serigne Lo, Yining Huang, Jiguang Wang, Christian Stapf, Thompson Robinson, Pablo Lavados, John Chalmers, Craig S. Anderson

Background

Rates of acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) increase in winter months but the magnitude of risk is unknown. We aimed to quantify the association of ambient temperature with the risk of ICH in the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Haemorrhage Trial (INTERACT2) participants on an hourly timescale.

Methods

INTERACT2 was an international, open, blinded endpoint, randomized controlled trial of patients with spontaneous ICH (<6h of onset) and elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP, 150–220 mmHg) assigned to intensive (target SBP <140 mmHg) or guideline-recommended (SBP <180 mmHg) BP treatment. We linked individual level hourly temperature to baseline data of 1997 participants, and performed case-crossover analyses using a distributed lag non-linear model with 24h lag period to assess the association of ambient temperature and risk of ICH. Results were presented as overall cumulative odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CI.

Results

Low ambient temperature (≤10°C) was associated with increased risks of ICH: overall cumulative OR was 1.37 (0.99–1.91) for 10°C, 1.92 (1.31–2.81) for 0°C, 3.13 (1.89–5.19) for -10°C, and 5.76 (2.30–14.42) for -20°C, as compared with a reference temperature of 20°C.There was no clear relation of low temperature beyond three hours after exposure. Results were consistent in sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions

Exposure to low ambient temperature within several hours increases the risk of ICH.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00716079

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