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posted on 2025-02-23, 19:57 authored by Nicolin DeckerNicolin Decker

Figshare Dataset Description

Title: The Economic Bomb Dataset: Bitcoin Volatility, Institutional Shorting, and ETF Outflows (2021–2024)

Description:
This dataset supports the research presented in The Economic Bomb: A Strategic Financial Warfare Tactic, which examines Bitcoin's volatility, institutional shorting, and the impact of ETF outflows on market behavior. Covering the period from January 2021 to December 2024, the dataset includes raw financial data, processed analytical outputs, and visualizations that illustrate volatility patterns, delayed market reactions, and potential price manipulation.


The dataset is divided into the following components:


  • Raw Data: Daily BTC price movements, ETF holdings and outflows, whale wallet transactions, and institutional shorting positions from Binance, Coinbase, Glassnode, and other sources.
  • Processed Data: Calculated BTC returns, volatility measures, and sentiment scores from social media platforms such as Twitter, Reddit, Google News, and YouTube.
  • Simulations: Monte Carlo simulations, Decker Sentiment-Short Interest Model (DSSIM), GARCH model forecasts, and VAR model analyses that quantify volatility clustering and delayed market responses.
  • Visual Aids: Correlation matrices, heatmaps, and line charts that visualize key patterns, including volatility spikes following ETF outflows and whale wallet movements.

This dataset is designed to support research into cryptocurrency volatility, institutional influence, and market manipulation. It is suitable for use in academic studies, financial modeling, and data-driven investment strategies. Detailed captions and preprocessing information are provided to ensure transparency and reproducibility.

Keywords: Bitcoin Volatility, Institutional Shorting, ETF Outflows, Whale Wallet Movements, Cryptocurrency Market Manipulation, Monte Carlo Simulation, GARCH Model, VAR Model, Financial Data Visualization

License: CC BY 4.0 (Attribution required)

DOI: 10.17632/xn9ws8x6j7.2

Citation:
Decker, Nicolin (2025), The Economic Bomb: A Strategic Financial Warfare Tactic, Mendeley Data, V2, DOI: 10.17632/xn9ws8x6j7.2, Available at SSRN: Link to SSRN

Contact: Nicolin Decker, Independent Researcher, Email: nicolindecker144@gmail.com

Funding

Independent Study

History