Full_ensemble_median_and 95pct_range.txt (112.98 kB)

Reconstruction ensemble median and 95% range

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posted on 2019-07-23, 20:07 authored by Raphael NeukomRaphael Neukom, Luis A. Barboza, Michael P. Erb, Feng Shi, Julien Emile-geayJulien Emile-geay, Michael N. Evans, Jörg Franke, Darrell S. Kaufman, Lucie Lücke, Kira Rehfeld, Andrew Schurer, Feng Zhu, Stefan Brönnimann, Gregory J. Hakim, Benjamin J. Henley, Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Nicholas McKay, Veronika Valler, Lucien von Gunten
This file contains the the median and 95% range (2.5th and 97.5th percentiles) of the full 7000-member ensemble accross all methods of the PAGES2k Consortium 2019 global mean temperature reconstructions.
We strongly recommend working with the full ensemble provided in the other files in this data compilation for a more robust analysis of GMST.
The columns in this table are: Year CE, raw instrumental target data, reconstruction ensemble 50th, 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles, 31-year butterworth filtered instrumental target data, 31-year butterworth filtered reconstruction 50th, 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles
All values are °C wrt 1961-1990 over the May-April annual average.


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