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Video poker simulator

software
posted on 2023-09-13, 07:32 authored by Jussi PalomäkiJussi Palomäki

At the time of writing (13 September 2023) an article written on this simulator has been accepted for publication in the Journal of Behavioral Addictions.

This video poker simulator seeks to illustrate the spread (variance) of wins and losses between multiple hypothetical players and different levels of game volatility. The simulator may be helpful for players who are unfamiliar with the logic of gambling, and who may be at risk of becoming problem gamblers. In the simulations…

  • The bet size is 1 euro each round
  • 5 rounds are played per minute
  • The spread of wins and their probabilities (under optimal strategy) in the low / medium / high volatility version of the game are
    • Royal flush: 2000e / 500e / 100e (0.002%)
    • Straight flush: 50e / 55e / 50e (0.011%)
    • Four of a kind: 33e / 45e / 30e (0.236%)
    • Full house: 14e / 13e / 15e (1.151%)
    • Flush: 7e / 7e / 8e (1.101%)
    • Straight: 5e / 6e / 7e (1.123%)
    • Three of a kind: 3e / 3e / 3e (7.445%)
    • Two pair: 2e / 2e / 2e (12.928%)
  • The return to player (RTP) rates on optimal strategy are 89.955% (low volatility), 89.934% (medium volatility), and 89.965% (high volatility)
  • Optimal playing strategy is used
  • The “luckiest” and “unluckiest” players are visualized based on their results at the end of each simulation

These wins and their probabilities are based on information provided in https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/casino/video-poker-odds-and-strategy/8RP2WGBBQFJ498LD , but may significantly differ from other video poker games (and other similar games) elsewhere

See also https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10899-011-9238-0 for simulations and analyses on volatility, house edge and prize structures in different gambling games

Simulator home: https://herrasmies.github.io/videopoker_simulator_eng.html .

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