MOESM8 of Time series analysis of malaria in Afghanistan: using ARIMA models to predict future trends in incidence

Additional file 8: Annex 3. Approximate estimation of malaria suspects expected up to December 2016, based on Model 2 with 2-Lag Vegetation. This estimate may be taken with following considerations: 1- Assuming linear trend of malaria stays the same as the Model predict. 2- Incidences not reported to the system remain small or negligible. The numbers calculated are incidence rate per 10 000 of service users in the country