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Do the Lessons From Micro-Conflict Literature Transfer to High Crime Areas?: Examining Mexico’s War on Drugs

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journal contribution
posted on 2017-12-01, 07:45 authored by Muhammad Nasir, Marc Rockmore, Chih Ming Tan

Exposure to political violence has been found to affect behavioural parameters. The effects of high levels of criminal violence, however, are largely unknown. We examine the effects of Mexico’s war on drugs on risk aversion, mental health and pro-social behaviour. Using a nonlinear difference-in-differences (DiD) model, we find that the post 2006 surge in violence significantly increased risk aversion and reduced trust in civic institutions without any simultaneous strengthening of kinship relationships. Although the deterioration of mental health due to violence exposure has been hypothesised to explain changes in risk aversion, we find no such effect.

Funding

This work was supported by the Greg and Cindy Page Faculty Distribution Fund to Chih Ming Tan. A previous version of this work was circulated with the title: ‘It’s No Spring Break in Cancun: The Effects of Exposure to Violence on Risk Preferences, Pro-Social Behaviour, and Mental Health’. We thank the editor and two anonymous reviewers for insightful comments. Any remaining errors are solely attributable to the authors. The data and programmes required to replicate the results are available upon request.

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