10.1371/journal.pone.0156909.g004 Katharine Kripke Katharine Kripke Marjorie Opuni Marjorie Opuni Melissa Schnure Melissa Schnure Sema Sgaier Sema Sgaier Delivette Castor Delivette Castor Jason Reed Jason Reed Emmanuel Njeuhmeli Emmanuel Njeuhmeli John Stover John Stover HIV incidence ratios by country, 2014–2048. Public Library of Science 2016 Swaziland impact 15- year period DMPPT 2.0 model Malawi circumcising PEPFAR AIDS HIV incidence HIV infection age-targeted VMMC coverage South 2016-07-13 15:56:31 Figure https://plos.figshare.com/articles/figure/HIV_incidence_ratios_by_country_2014_2048_/3901197 <p>(a) immediacy of impact (five years). (b) magnitude of impact (15 years). HIV incidence in VMMC scale-up scenarios in which circumcisions are only provided to the five-year age group indicated, divided by HIV incidence in a scenario in which the baseline male circumcision prevalence by age is maintained. 1 = the HIV incidence in the baseline scenario in each year.</p>