Expected reach of periphery nodes predicts outcome of simulated zombie apocalypse
Traditional metrics of node influence such as degree or betweenness are not
well suited for estimating the spreading power of peripheral nodes; yet
disease is most likely to enter a network from the periphery. This has sparked
interest in path counting metrics. The current work proposes instead using the
expected number of infected-susceptible edges, and shows that this measure is
predictive of time to network coverage. The metric is further predictive of the
outcome of a simulated zombie apocalypse met by concurrent spread of education
in zombie hunting.
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